Well I feel like Dave hates making money so we are going to attack this with just me and my opinion, which for week 1 was pretty pathetic. Oh well it is a long season and I have a track record of winning, so I don't doubt how I handicap a game.
Going to focus on just tonight's game today and hopefully get some more breakdowns in here for you tomorrow. Tonight we have the Chicago Bears at the Green Bay Packers. First let us look at this line movement, it opened at -7 for the Packers. I have seen it as low as -4.5 and I think right now it is sitting at -5. So there has been quite a bit of movement on this one. Also the over has moved from 50 to 51, which is telling you that everybody thinks so points are going to be scored. Does anybody actually believe that the Packers can start 0-2 at home after a 15-1 season with a perfect regular season record at home with the only loss coming on the road to the Chiefs? Personally I think the Bears are good enough to win this game, but lets break this game down a little bit.
The Packers D is still not very good. They really can't stop the run and with Mike Martz gone, they are more than likely to actually run the ball with Matt Forte and Michael Bush. That could be really dangerous and really open things up for Cutler who has a lot of weapons. Anybody here of Brandon Marshall? Cutler also has Earl Bennett and Devin Hester to throw to. With the Pack not able to stop the run the Bears are going to be able to put up some points. On the other side of the ball Urlacher is questionable and probably won't play much and Tillman is dinged up I feel the Packers are also going to put up some points. I think the week 1 trend of the most points scored in week 1 continues here tonight. Even with Jennings out Aaron Rodgers is too good to keep quiet, and he will distribute the ball all over the field. Cedric Benson will remain pretty quiet, but might be used in the passing game. The Packers will fight and claw, heck they are Super Bowl Champions (one year removed) this team knows how to win and they don't lose at home. The Bears D is not the 49ers D, and won't be able to slow things down completely, I was initially leaning towards Chicago 31 GB 30 with a last second field goal winning it, but I am sticking with the home team here to sneak out a victory, possibly a come from behind win with some late heroics from Discount Double Check.
My Prediction Packers 30 Bears 28
The best bet here is the over, don't you dare think that points aren't going to be scored. Good luck and check back tomorrow for some weekend updates.
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