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Friday, October 14, 2011

Friday Updates

It is Friday, and although we didn't break down the games last night Dave and Vince both took USC to cover the 3 against Cal and Vince also took San Diego State as underdogs on the road. Good start to the weekend for us both. Hopefully we continue our success with the game tonight and the games on Saturday and Sunday!

Hawaii @ San Jose State (+5). Hawaii is not traveling too far for this game, so I really don't think that will be a factor in this game. The stat I look at here for the most is the fact that 14 out of the last 17 games played in this series the road team has covered. Hawaii can score averaging 37.2 points a game and San Jose allows 30.83 points a game. San Jose also only scores 20.33 points a game well Hawaii allows 27.4 points per game. I really look for Hawaii to throw the ball around and cover this line quite easily. Lay the points and take Hawaii in this game.

Thoughts from Vince....

Vince also has some of his Friday changes, as the week goes the lines move and the research comes in so changes are made. Vince is hopping on the Packers, the Rams are just bad and the Packers are the real deal, Packers should be able to roll the Rams even though they are coming off a bye. Florida @ Auburn has been a game that I have been struggling with. I just don't think that Florida can stop the run at all so I look for Auburn to exploit this and win this game! Wrong team favored here Auburn wins outright!

Michigan @ Michigan State (-3). Here is another tough game to call, I initially thought the wrong team was favored, but the more I look at it I think the line has the right team favored. Michigan State surprisingly has the best defense in yards allowed in college football, and I personally think they put the hurt on the Wolverines. I am a Michigan fan and hope I am wrong here, but I think the way Michigan State controls the line of scrimmage will be the difference in the game. I am going to lay the points and take the Spartans.

Thoughts from Dave...

Ohio State @ Illinois: The Buckeyes come into Champaign bruised and battered. The have lost 3 of their last 4 games with the lone win coming against Colorado (1-5). The Buckeyes have nothing going for them, they are 3-3 and their 3 wins come against cupcakes such as Akron, Toledo, and Colorado. Their combined record is 6-13. Not that impressive. Illinois on the other hand is off to a perfect 6-0 start with quality wins such as a come from behind win to beat Northwestern and a win vs #22 Arizona State. They average 226 rushing yards a contest (13th overall) averaging 34 points and only allowing 17pts per contest. The Kansas City native Nathan Scheelhasse has grown into a quality Big 10 QB (for whatever thats worth). He has 10 TD tosses with only 3 INTS. He also has 4 rushing TDs to go along with this. The Big 10 is in definitely down this year, with clearly Wisconsin the front runner and worthy of a top 10 team, but you could also make a case for Illinois as well, I think Michigan will end up with 2 possibly 3 loses. Ohio State will be lucky to be bowl eligible at season end, I look for Illinois to handle them in this game. Fighting Illinois win 38-24. Buckeyes come away with buckshot in their ass after this is all said and done and it doesn't get any easier as they will take on the Wolf pack of Wisconsin next week. Thank You Jim Tressel.

Michigan @ Michigan State: The Wolverines roll into town to face the 3rd best defense statistically. Although Michigan State has yet to face a quality opponent either. Their only loss was a blowout suffered at the hands of the Irish of Notre Dame (31-13). Michigan State will not be able to contain Denard Robinson. The Spartans are favored in this game by 2.5, I look for Michigan to move the ball with ease against this over rated defense. Neither of these teams are worthy of where they sit in the rankings, but b/c this is rivalry and traditionally a big game for both schools, this game is getting a lot of undue hype. This could potentially be over by half. Wolverines roll 41-20.

Kansas State @ Texas Tech: Neither of these teams are flashy and they both have what folks might consider quality coaches, but no reason why Tech doesn't deliver the Wildcats 1st over due loss. I think they were lucky to take down Baylor, and Mizzou should have taken them to the wood shed, but they avoided defeat and pulled off some big defensive plays, their luck runs out on Sunday as an average, pass happy Texas Tech team brings them down from that cloud they are on and puts them where they were always meant to be, AVERAGE. They will no doubt handle Kansas next week as everyone has. But then they have the Sooners, Cowboys, Aggies, and the Longhorns, which should mop the floor with them. I hoped they enjoyed the brief success as it seems they are in for a rough month ahead! 45-31 TT wins.

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